Anything new in the Western front? - SÜLEYMAN SEYFI ÖĞÜN

Anything new in the Western front?

Weird things are happening recently in the region and the world. As U.S. President Donald Trump's world policies become clear, serious resistance rises in return. It is understood that Trump will not be able to accomplish everything he promised during the election campaign, but more importantly, he will be forced to make decisions contrary to his promises. Let's have a look at them.

It has not even been a month since his inauguration, yet there have already been two resignations. The latest one was the leading defender of Russian-U.S. rapprochement. On another note, North Korea tested a rocket while Trump was meeting with the Japanese prime minister. Trump condemned this with a very serious tone. Yet he had previously said that he could come together with North Korea. After his strict condemnation, it is highly likely that this possibility is no longer an option. But most importantly, the phase of bringing NATO and Europe against Russia, which started during Barack Obama's presidency, is increasing. NATO forces in the Baltic and Eastern Europe are being strengthened. Trump is trying to cancel Obama's health insurance law. Yes, he did make offensive remarks about NATO in the beginning, but in reality, nothing really changed. With NATO's latest moves, Russia has set its St. Petersburg forces into war mode. But this has not received nearly as much attention as the Grammy Awards did. It seems like a lull before the storm. The Black Sea is boiling. We hear that Russia is harassing NATO ships. Moscow discounted Trump's comments on Russia invading Ukraine and Crimea and Trump telling Russia to move out of Crimea very firmly. Things are heating up in the Pacific, too. There is also news that China is on the verge of a serious war.

It is right at this time that strange shifts have started to take place in the Middle East. The alliance established between Russia, Iran and Turkey has started to shake a little. Steps are being taken to re-include the Atlantic bloc that was left out in Astana by shifting the talks back to Geneva in parallel with Trump's approach to isolate Iran from the Middle East. Turkey is at the center of all this pressure. Attempts to make up with Turkey so that NATO can be more effective in Syria have increased. British Prime Minister Theresa May and then the country's chief of general staff's visits to Turkey can be considered an indicator of this. Russia sees all this and is trying to bring Turkey into line through indirect warnings. The incident in which Russian jets bombed the Turkish headquarters in al-Bab is yet to be explained. Syrian regime forces being brought into the picture is another interesting development. A new ambassador is yet to be appointed to Ankara after Russian Ambassador Andrei Karlov's assassination. Russia is taking very slow steps to better its relations with Turkey. But the most important development is the fact that Moscow is now hosting a very important Kurdish conference. We should not forget that the Democratic Union Party (PYD), an extension of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), can move freely in Russia and that Moscow does not regard it as a terrorist organization. Yes, NATO still holds the Kurdish card in its hands, but it seems like there is no obstacle stopping Russia from using it too.

Things have not fallen into place as of yet in the U.S. The deep U.S., of which NATO is at the center, is trying to bring Trump into line. They might be successful, and if this happens, Turkey's position will be under serious pressure. How will Turkey, which was torn by NATO and thus had to draw closer to Russia, meet this repression? It is understood that the next steps will be directed at dividing the Astana alliance. It is imperative that we become sensitive toward steps that would increase tension between Turkey and Iran and Turkey and Russia. We should especially keep an eye on Russia's position. Russia currently has the upper hand. Russia is no longer the old Russia for us. In the past, Russia was just an enemy “to the north.” But now we are surrounded by Russia both to the north and the south. It does not seem easy to just return to a classic NATO role and relax.


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