It is now certain that Turkey-Russia relations will not recover any time soon. This sentiment is also prevalent in Turkey's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
As for Moscow, it continues to vary its cards and push against Ankara. Although it was mentioned in all newspapers, one that has the lifespan of a newspaper is more dangerous…
Two members of Russia's State Duma, the lower house of parliament, have proposed the denouncement of the 1921 Moscow Treaty of Friendship and Brotherhood signed during the Atatürk-Lenin era, which approves the current state of Turkey's borders with Caucasus.
It was suggested, in reference to the Turkey-Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic's Treaty of Friendship and Brotherhood, that all Russian-Turkish agreements unfavorable to Russia be reviewed.
Those interpreting the proposal in Russia, remind that the agreement includes “tough conditions” such as the establishment of Nagorno-Karabakh – recognized as part of Azerbaijan – defended that Caucasus countries other than Azerbaijan, and Georgia and Armenia did not accept the conditions of the 1921 agreement.
SSCB had recognized the borders of the National Pact with the Treaty of Moscow. The agreement has significance as the cornerstone of the friendship between Turkey and Russia.” (“Rusya'dan skandal teklif: Türkiye ile 1921 antlaşmasını feshedelim” (Scandalous proposal from Russia: Let's annul the 1921 treaty with Turkey), February 8, 2016, all newspapers. Also, a foreign source among all newspapers: “Russian lawmakers suggest annulling 1921 treaty of friendship with Turkey,” February 8, 2016, TASS)
There are also other information:
“The Armenian lobby in Russia was also carrying out operations in this direction for some time. Stalin had brought this topic up on the agenda at the end of World War II. The Kars region which became a part of the Russian empire with the Treaty of Kars – considered an extension of the Treaty of Moscow – the south Batum region and Ağrı region were captured by Turkey. Armenia does not accept the Treaty of Kars as valid. Similarly, the Georgian parliament had also renounced the Treaty of Kars in 2005.” (“Rusya'da gerilim artırıcı çıkış” (Tension-rising outburst in Russia), February 8, 2016, Hürriyet)
WHAT DOES ALL THIS MEAN?
Thus, an almost century-old agreement that was long forgotten was remembered. But why? There is a secret.
Let's spill the beans…
“The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation which immediately started inspections in the southern military district, deployed 40 war planes and helicopters to the Black Sea coast. The military vehicles sent to the Black Sea coast have been reported to include fighter jets, tactic bomber aircraft, assault aircraft, military transport planes and assault helicopters.”
Addition… “Russian Minister of Defense Sergey Shoygu announced the launch of a drill including the Black Sea and Khazar fleets. There are 900 military vehicles, 50 war ships and 200 warplanes and helicopters in the drill carried out with 8,500 soldiers. (“Rusya, Karadeniz kıyısına 40 savaş uçağı ve helikopteri gönderdi,” February 9, 2016, Milliyet and “Russia Puts South Military District's Airborne Forces on Full Combat Alert,” February 8, 2016, Sputnik)
'OLD BORDERS' AND WORLD WAR III
Let's get down to business…
Can we consider the attempt to terminate the Treaty of Moscow and the military activity on Turkey's northern borders independently of one another?
The treaties of Moscow and Kars determine our borders with Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia today. These two moves are traps to weaken the legitimacy of those borders.
This is an extremely confusing matter. I am not getting into the details, but experts should start building strong forts in terms of history and international law. This should not be allowed to turn into a black hole.
The reason the Russians have set such a trap is to underline that Turkey's state borders are filled with the danger of collapsing if Ankara continues/escalates the dispute in Syria in any way.
Now, at a time when the Aleppo, refugees, the European Union, Germany, Saudi Arabia and NATO are mentioned a lot more in Syria, it is really very dangerous to make any references to World War I and the turbulent times during which both countries were rebuilt.
The extent of the danger is generously defined as, “Prime Minister Medvedev: If an agreement cannot be reached on Syria, it might lead to a new world war.” (“Russia warns of World War,” February 11, 2016, DW)
Because the Russians, particularly a military intelligence service, are suspicious that the closeness between Ankara and Riyadh is encouraged by the US Saudi officials from the Foreign Ministry have also implied this. (“Saudi Arabia says US has welcomed troops offer for Syria,” February 9, 2016, Iran Daily.)
The Treaty of Moscow let out of Pandora's box and Russia's war preparation show in the Southern Military District are like swiping a match on the wall. Like several Western experts, the Russians are not disregarding the likelihood of a military conflict with Turkey either. (“How likely is an armed conflict between Russia and Turkey,” December 8, 2015, RBH)
Let alone, Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu's “wait a little and you will see” response in regard to question “Will Turkey do anything for the opening of the Aleppo corridor?” question directed by journalists on his return from the Netherlands as well as Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu's statement, “The US has come to realize it made a mistake,” will cause Russian intelligence agents to catch each other's eyes.