The desire to reestablish not only an outdated but an unwanted order, and moreover, by pushing it to its limits, may lead to worse results as the speed with which you increase the pressure you’re applying adds to its destructive aftermath.
On the one hand, the new American administration, wants Europe to be with it as before and have its full backing, yet on the other hand, it gives the impression of whipping them into line with separate policies towards both Russia and China. This means "your turn will come soon" and it is impossible for either Moscow or Beijing to miss this.
Washington is likely to attack not only the superpowers, but also the major countries that can influence, direct, and impact their power. The signs are pointing in that direction. Turkey is among the first countries to be targeted.
Chinese leader Xi Jinping started to put it into words when he digitally joined the summit in Davos last Monday. According to many observers, this was a warning to the U.S. He said that any attempt by Washington/Biden to disrupt China's global trade and technology networks risks restarting the Cold War.
You can read these words in Davos another way; "Don't incite Europe against Beijing and force an alliance against China!”
We can monitor U.S. relations with Europe, the transatlantic alliance, NATO, and Russia because it is more visible, but a similar thing is taking place in the Pacific. Like Taiwan. The fuse has been lit. Its economy is in trouble, and Japan is also very uncomfortable. Naval warships are not allowed transit. This is the situation on the field. Meanwhile, on the table, the United States has attempted to build an anti-China alliance together with the countries of the region, just as it is trying to do in Europe.
President Xi warned against the dangers of this approach “We should respect and accommodate differences, avoid meddling in other countries’ internal affairs and resolve disagreements through consultation and dialogue. History and reality have made it clear time and again that the misguided approach of antagonism and confrontation — be it in the form of a cold war, hot war, trade war or tech war — will eventually hurt all countries’ interest and undermine everyone’s well-being.”
These lines do not necessarily signify a hot confrontation. Though it may not mean that, it puts it in stark terms at the very least!
"EITHER US OR CHINA, CHOOSE YOUR SIDE"!
Europe is important to China. The search for a "new transatlantic" by the Biden administration is disturbing. That's why Beijing's trade agreement with the EU is remarkable. It made great sacrifices and concessions.
It can be said that on Tuesday, Merkel rejected the U.S. call to "picks sides, either us or China" She spoke about China, referring to Xi Jinping's speech the day before; "“I’d very much wish to avoid the building of blocs, I don’t think it would do justice to many societies if we just say this is China and there is the United States and we are grouping among either one or the other. This is not my understanding of how things ought to be. The President of China gave a speech yesterday and he and I agree on this. We see the need for multilateralism. I am also very satisfied with the trade-investment agreement between the EU and China.”
Now this is what we call a "Special Position"; “in spite of the U.S.,” Berlin has, on the one hand maintained positive and close relations with Turkey, on the other, it does not risk its ties with Russia and even, as seen with regards to the North Stream-2. Meanwhile, Berlin is putting up a fight to lead the EU.
Davos is a suitable place for both Xinping and Merkel's speeches and their rapprochement, but there is also a timing behind this.
Just before that, Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron had a phone call and "agreed to work together on shared foreign policy priorities, including China."
Paris is competing with Germany when it comes to ties with Russia and China, and European leadership. This diversifies U.S. pressure on Europe. Biden made a similar statement with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson. He also told London that he wanted to work on their Europe and China policy. It is seen that Britain will not pack its bags and exit Europe after Brexit. It will partner with the U.S. in leading Europe.
In the United States' new foreign policy-global security approach, Europe is really valuable and Washington will continue to cling to it. However, this is only a skirmish. final showdowns will take place with Russia and China. Therefore, two capitals are critical for the White House: Ankara and Moscow.
If you ignore the poignancy of those who say, "Brett McGurk was brought to the helm in the Middle East and North Africa, ignore the rest", if you do not give up on the appointment of Lloyd Austin as the head of the Pentagon, and the insight of the newspapers with the headline "The Pentagon was entrusted to the PKK", What will you say to the following statement from day-one?
Secretary of State Blinken made the following statements: "So-called ally,” “Turkey must return to the West instead of taking steps to be closer to Russia or any other enemy," "With regards to discrepencies in regional affairs, we will try to keep Turkey close through the transatlantic alliance.”
Meanwhile, U.S. deputy ambassador to the UN said that "Turkey and Russia should immediately withdraw from Libya."
News that China and Turkey are common concerns for the EU and the U.S. emerged following a meeting between National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan and EU Commission head Leyen.
The U.S. will make its own decision with regards to mending ties with Turkey. Right now it seems to be deciding “on its own.”