The Ukraine conflict: Wars are shifting from the Middle East to Europe for the first time since WWII. A ‘Western Defense Line’ is being built from the Baltic to the Aegean region. - İBRAHIM KARAGÜL

The Ukraine conflict: Wars are shifting from the Middle East to Europe for the first time since WWII. A ‘Western Defense Line’ is being built from the Baltic to the Aegean region.

For the first time since World War II is Europe in such a helpless predicament. It has collapsed completely, both militarily and diplomatically. Furthermore, under these circumstances, with its current economic capacity, it is unlikely that it will be able to hold on for much longer.

Similar to politics and the military, the trajectory of global trends in terms of resources and markets are also economically against Europe’s interests. Their former glory is rapidly coming to a halt, diminishing, and even regressing. It will be sufficient to consider the supply crisis during the pandemic period, which proved highly detrimental to central European economies. 

 

Trade corridors are no longer under the West’s control 

Regardless of their constant efforts to conceal their despair, it was all out in the open. The economic collapse of southern European countries had long since weakened faith in the EU. However, it is now time to discuss the new maps of Europe. 

The southern and northern supply lines spanning from China to Europe were taken over by China, Russia, Turkey, and other regional states. The West lost its complete sovereignty over world trade corridors for the first time since the geographical discoveries, and the start of colonialism. 

We can already ascertain that the West’s existing garrisons, military and political fields of influence will rapidly lose power. 

The Karabakh war was the first step. It will continue, and they will all take shape contrary to the West’s interests. 

 

Wars are now shifting toward European borders

 EU expansion and the dream of a Unified Europe is ancient history. The dream of a new Roman Empire spanning the Baltic and Mediterranean region can no longer even protect its own borders. Forget great geopolitical projects, it cannot even solve its energy crisis. 

If Ukraine is the first victim in the Russia-U.S. clash over Ukraine, the second victim is Europe. There is no such thing as a joint European defense. Even if there is an effort to escape U.S. patronage, they have nothing to replace it. 

A war is brewing on European borders for the first time since World War II. The Ukraine war is not just about Kyiv. It is a crisis involving U.S. efforts to settle in the Black Sea, and the East’s efforts to push past European borders. 

 

West’s expansion turned to defense

Yugoslavia’s collapse and the Bosnian War were developments in favor of U.S. and European interests. They were the results of the West’s expansion. (Here, Bosnia, Turkey, and Muslims have a different case.) 

Today, this situation has been reversed. For the first time now, with Ukraine, a war is being launched against the West, and this poses a direct threat to Europe. 

The pressure is emanating from the East, the wind is blowing from the East. The West is the one stepping back. The NATO expansion, which has been ongoing since the Cold War, has reversed. 

The West is now defending itself instead of pursuing its expansion policy. The U.S. and Europe’s withdrawal from Afghanistan, the image of those who put their faith in them crashing to the ground from aircraft wings, is the West’s failure in Central Asia. 

 

Western defense line from the Baltic to the Aegean

If the Ukraine crisis cannot be stopped, there will be more to come. Poland, Baltic countries, and Eastern Europe will be under serious Russian threat. These countries will become open fronts of NATO, which will milk the threat dry. 

Both circumstances spell destruction for the countries involved. It will turn them into fronts, into battlefields, into countries that become collateral damage of the East-West crises. 

A vertical East-West front, a “Western defense line” is being built from the Baltic Sea to the Aegean. In a sense, the West’s eastern border is being redefined. 

 

EU countries will feel the threat deep within

 The north-south line that extends from Poland to Belarus, to Ukraine, to Romania, Bulgaria, and Greece, is identified as the Western border “for now.” But this border is going to have to rapidly shift further West, and will do so in a very short time. If they fail to stop the war in the east, the threat will reach Western Europe’s borders. The Eastern Europe shield will not be able to provide protection, and EU countries will thus feel the threat deep within. 


 Oppressed nations have returned with strong claims

 All wars of the last three decades transpired in the Middle East. They took place on the Red Sea-Central Asia line. All of these wars were broken out by the U.S. and Europe. They wanted to declare Western civilization’s final victory in the 21st century, and rule the world unilaterally! 

They behaved recklessly, caused such terrible destruction, sacrificing countries and nations without batting an eye, that a strong resistance was launched against the West. The countries they oppressed and arrogantly undermined are now rapidly starting to escape the West’s influence. 

This was perhaps going to be the 21st century’s startling reality. History, the global power map would perhaps be transformed and shaped through the uprising of the countries oppressed and exploited by the West. Formerly grand civilizations, formerly great nations are starting to come back with courage and their claims. 

 

 War shifting from the Middle East to Europe’s east border.  

For the first time in the last three decades, wars are now shifting from the Middle East, from the Muslim geography to Europe’s eastern border and the Pacific region. Russia-Europe conflicts are rapidly growing in Eastern Europe, while the same can be said for Sino-U.S. conflicts in the Pacific. 

The only problems in the Middle East right now are in Syria and Yemen. Nonetheless, this can be – and most likely will be – easily resolved during the new normalization process Turkey launched with regional states. 

Regional countries must not allow a new war in the Middle East. They must end the Western method of exporting its own crises to our region. 

 

 Ukraine: A victim, an unprotected country

 European wars are just beginning. The Ukraine crisis is the first step. Ukraine is a slave to its region. It is a victim of the East-West conflict.

As Russian expansionism drives a country to destruction, the U.S.’s excessive provocation to war is an indication of Europe’s fear for the future. 

It is the idea that “the further away from the war, the safer we are.” The West considers Ukraine no less of a “victim” than Russia does. 

 

 There will be no more mercenaries.

 The West is still continuing to use border countries as “mercenaries.” They haven’t a care for those nations. They will never truly defend them. 

The rapid vacation of U.S., U.K., and Western embassies, the lack of any encouraging military support to Ukraine is an indication of this. They are going to use them against threats, and direct the endless wars. But this method has become outdated. The West is now experiencing difficulty finding mercenary soldiers. 

 

The West attacked us in every field 

The Ukraine war represents a Black Sea war in Turkey’s case. It is a U.S. attempt to settle here. Although we are within the Western alliance, although we are a NATO member, we still need to take position in accordance with the trends of the global power map. 

The same West attacked us in Syria. It attacked us in Iraq. It attacked us through the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). It attacked us through the Fetullah Terrorist Organization (FETÖ). It attacked us on July 15, 2016. It established an anti-Turkey terrorist army in northern Syria. 

Now, it is trying to attack us by building a political terrorism front in our midst. All of the threats identified for Turkey are coming from the West. All of our 21st-century plans are being opposed by the West. 

 

Turkey will emerge from this storm greater, stronger

 The Ukraine war represents a European war for the West as well. War is knocking on Europe’s door for the first time after seven decades. This is a new concept. More will follow. As a matter of fact, this was onset when the West started to stagnate and regress.

The world’s new order will cause game-changing tremors. Shocking situations may emerge. This goes beyond a world in which the U.S. establishes official alliances with terrorist organizations and attacks its own allies. 

Turkey is gearing up for an intense future. If it can overcome the inside intervention, it will come walk out of the storm greater and stronger. Turkey has become a more active and effective country than all EU countries put together. 

Regardless of the consequences, this march must continue in the 21st century. 

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