US House Speaker Pelosi is playing with fire! - ABDULLAH MURADOĞLU

US House Speaker Pelosi is playing with fire!

The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) on Saturday conducted a live-fire exercise near Pingtan Island, about 125 kilometers from Taiwan. Chinese media outlets posted videos showing a Chinese warship firing live ammunition in the South China Sea.

Beijing issued warnings to ships in the area that the People's Liberation Army will conduct live-fire exercises in another part of the South China Sea on August 2-3.

Meanwhile, the USS Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier of the U.S. Navy set off towards the South China Sea, after visiting Singapore (several days).

According to U.S. statements, the aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan will continue scheduled regular operations as part of its routine patrol in support of the free and open Indo-Pacific region.

It is noteworthy that the term "Indo-Pacific Free and Open" is a term built to consolidate the U.S. military presence in the region.

In this context, all these military moves and activities come due to the supposed plan of U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to visit Taiwan.

Pelosi and members of the parliamentary delegation accompanying her began a visit to Singapore, the first leg of her tour. According to official statements, Pelosi will visit Malaysia, South Korea, and Japan.

It is worth noting that the visit to Taiwan was not officially on Pelosi's agenda.

U.S. President Joe Biden said the "Pentagon" did not approve of Speaker Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. And U.S. media reported that the Biden administration tried to persuade Pelosi at all levels to cancel the visit to Taiwan.

It is clear from these statements that the U.S. administration does not want confrontation with China under the current circumstances.

And the "reckless hawks" in the anti-China party are repeating their calls for Biden not to block Pelosi's visit.

Mike Pompeo, who served as U.S. Secretary of State under Trump and is one of the "reckless hawks" in the anti-China party, argues that canceling Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would send a bad message to U.S. friends in the region.

John Ratcliffe, the former director of national intelligence, said the Biden administration had shown weakness in China, and misjudged the issue.

Ratcliffe added, "Biden did not support Pelosi's right to visit Taiwan, asserting that the president is acting in accordance with this weakness that he has shown to China."

As for the measured hawks in the "anti-China party," Pelosi's visit is not at the right time.

The wise hawks pointed out that the Western allies of the United States remained silent about that visit, stressing that it would undermine the efforts of the United States to form an international alliance against China.

According to the "measured hawks," Pelosi's visit to Taiwan will cause negative risks for the United States.

On the other hand, the measured hawks in the anti-China party affirm that the leaders of the United States and China must work seriously in the coming days to prevent a “Guns of August” moment this century, in reference to the First World War that broke out in early August 1914.

And if the visit to Taiwan is not officially on Pelosi's agenda, this does not mean that the visit will be canceled.

There is a possibility that this visit will be canceled, but it is a very low probability. So far, Pelosi has not made any statements that she will not visit Taiwan. For this reason, we find that the USS Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier is on alert in the region.

For China, U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan means "crossing the red line."

The gravity of the situation lies after Chinese commentators sent messages that Pelosi's visit should be prevented by military means if necessary. Chinese President Xi Jinping also warned at the highest level during a long phone conversation with his U.S. counterpart, Joe Biden.

These events are reminiscent of the nuclear missile crisis that broke out between the United States and the Soviet Union in 1962. The possibility of a confrontation between American and Soviet warships in the Atlantic Ocean created an atmosphere of fear and terror that dominated the entire world for several days.

Then the leaders of the United States and the Soviet Union secretly agreed among themselves and put an end to the crisis that was likely to lead to nuclear war.

Now all eyes are on Pelosi. China is not expected to remain silent if Pelosi changed course toward Taiwan.

Warships, planes, and soldiers may cross paths thousands of times, and one of these encounters can cause unexpected developments. The Indo-Pacific region is also being prepared as the main scene for potential future conflict.

The consequences of the intense competition between the emerging power (China) and the established hegemon (the United States) could lead to a military conflict sooner rather than later.

The question is, when will this conflict occur?


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