The ambiguous future of American politics - ABDULLAH MURADOĞLU

The ambiguous future of American politics

American fingerprints were all over the military coups conducted all over the world during the Cold War era (and after it too). The list goes on and on of this secret the whole world is already privy to. Back in the day, the word through the grapevine was that America was the only country exempt from a military coup. The response to “Why hasn’t there been a coup in the U.S.?” is quite simple: There isn’t an American Embassy in Washington.” This answer went down in history as a notorious cliche. However, as is the fate of all cliches, this one is now, too, outdated.

Reports now claim that a U.S. civil war is on the horizon, nevermind a coup. According to many polls conducted in the U.S., a significant percentage of Americans believe that their country is embroiled in a civil war atmosphere. Long gone are the days when Americans believed that their home was the heart of liberal democracy, and coups were events that just didn’t happen in their backyard. They believed that the established order was so strong that it wouldn’t grant passage to anything even resembling a coup.

The established American order in Washington has so far been maintained with a bipartisan agreement. It didn’t matter much whether the Dems or Republicans were in power. Especially in American foreign policy, this bipartisan agreement, which was supported by the American Military-Industrial Complex and certain lobbies was still going strong. 

However, the public’s perception of the established order in America is undergoing a swift change. Donald Trump surprisingly scooping up victory in the presidential elections was an ominous sign that that very order was beginning to crack. Trump surfed on the bottom wave of the faction that lost their trust in the order. However, he failed to fulfill the demands of this wave, except for minor touch-ups. Despite this, this deep wave is what keeps Trump alive.

In just four years, Trump distanced the Republican Party from its traditional line. Anti-Trump Republicans, on the other hand, were starting to jump ship. After declaring that Joe Biden had “stolen” the 2020 elections, he asked Republican state governors, senators and lawmakers to strictly oppose its results. For Republicans who declared that the Democrats won the elections, the path to politics had been narrowed. After the 2022 midterm elections, the Republican Party is expected to take a more Trumpist attitude in the U.S. Congress.

The invasion of the U.S. Congress on Jan. 6 was a first in American history. In the nonfiction book “I Alone Can Fix It” by Washington Post writers Carol Leonnig and Philip Rucker, they state that Mark Milley, the U.S. Chief of Staff back then, was worried that Trump would launch a coup attempt. It was even claimed that Milley said in a meeting with senior commanders, "They may try, but they're not going to succeed. You can't do this without the military. You can't do this without the CIA and the FBI. We're the guys with the guns." Of course, Trump denies the allegations in the book.

There is a cascade of rumors flying around about what is likely to happen in America should Trump run in 2024 and lose. Some say that the events following the 2020 elections will look like child’s play compared to what’s up ahead. There is talk of coups and a civil war. It’s common knowledge that, after the 2020 elections, Americans are arming themselves more than ever. Considering that hundreds of White Supremacist militia groups operate in the U.S., these scenarios may very well come to pass.

A Washington Post article recently claimed that there may be a coup in 2024, with reference to three retired generals. According to these generals, if Trump or another Trumpist figure loses the election, the country could be plunged into chaos. They point out that a Republican refusal to accept the election results could trigger a coup attempt. They therefore recommend that Congress and the current administration urgently take action to rule out these possibilities.

The biggest problem America faces today is “ambiguity.” Both the U.S.’s friends and foes are focused on the ambiguity of the future of American politics. There is no doubt that this nebulous haze will affect the U.S.’s global relations, as well as its allies.






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